user-defined package
Const Variable
获取数据,清洗数据
```py
def data_for_acb(ticker="000001", tstart=2010, tend=2015):
"""获取,清洗 ACB 模型所需要的数据。
ACB 模型需要数据:
负债合计[TLiab]
资产总计[TAssets]
未分配利润[retainedEarnings]
净利润[NIncome]
营运资本 = 资产总计 - 负债合计
"""
bs_data = DataAPI.FdmtBSGet(ticker=ticker, beginYear=tstart-1, endYear=tend,
field=['secID', 'endDate', 'publishDate', 'TLiab', 'TAssets', 'retainedEarnings'])
is_data = DataAPI.FdmtISGet(ticker=ticker, beginYear=tstart-1, endYear=tend,
field=['secID', 'endDate', 'publishDate', 'NIncome'])
bs_data = bs_data.drop_duplicates('endDate')
is_data = is_data.drop_duplicates('endDate')
data = is_data.merge(bs_data, on=['secID', 'endDate'])
# calculate TAssets diff of current and last report
pre_TAssets = []
length = len(data)
for index, number in enumerate(data.TAssets):
if index + 1 == length:
last_number = index
else:
last_number = index + 1
pre_TAssets.append(data.TAssets[last_number])
data['TAssetsPre'] = pre_TAssets
return data
def data_for_acbel(ticker="000001", tstart=2010, tend=2015):
"""获取,清洗 ACB 模型所需要的数据。
ACB 模型需要数据:
负债合计[TLiab]
资产总计[TAssets]
未分配利润[retainedEarnings]
净利润[NIncome]
营业总收入[tRevenue]
总市值[marketValue]
"""
bs_data = DataAPI.FdmtBSGet(ticker=ticker, beginYear=tstart-1, endYear=tend,
field=['secID', 'endDate', 'publishDate', 'TLiab', 'TAssets', 'retainedEarnings'])
is_data = DataAPI.FdmtISGet(ticker=ticker, beginYear=tstart-1, endYear=tend,
field=['secID', 'endDate', 'publishDate', 'NIncome', 'tRevenue'])
market_data = DataAPI.MktEqudGet(ticker=ticker, field=['secID', 'tradeDate', 'marketValue'])
market_data.rename(columns={'tradeDate': 'endDate'}, inplace=True)
bs_data = bs_data.drop_duplicates('endDate')
is_data = is_data.drop_duplicates('endDate')
data = is_data.merge(bs_data, on=['secID', 'endDate'])
endDate = list(data.endDate)
data = data.merge(market_data, on=['secID', 'endDate'], how='outer')
data.marketValue = data.marketValue.fillna(method='ffill')
data = data[data.endDate.isin(endDate)]
# calculate TAssets diff of current and last report
pre_TAssets = []
length = len(data)
for index, number in enumerate(data.TAssets):
if index + 1 == length:
last_number = index
else:
last_number = index + 1
pre_TAssets.append(data.TAssets[last_number])
data['TAssetsPre'] = pre_TAssets
return data
测试:获取数据,清洗数据
data_for_acb("002056").head(5)
secID | endDate | publishDate_x | NIncome | publishDate_y | TLiab | TAssets | retainedEarnings | TAssetsPre | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 002056.XSHE | 2015-09-30 | 2015-10-28 | 2.657156e+08 | 2015-10-28 | 1.672345e+09 | 5.129504e+09 | 1.401169e+09 | 4.820643e+09 |
1 | 002056.XSHE | 2015-06-30 | 2015-08-27 | 1.482967e+08 | 2015-08-27 | 1.486623e+09 | 4.820643e+09 | 1.283617e+09 | 4.721675e+09 |
2 | 002056.XSHE | 2015-03-31 | 2015-04-27 | 6.872527e+07 | 2015-04-27 | 1.466576e+09 | 4.721675e+09 | 1.204153e+09 | 4.782852e+09 |
3 | 002056.XSHE | 2014-12-31 | 2015-03-28 | 3.814308e+08 | 2015-10-28 | 1.484829e+09 | 4.782852e+09 | 1.250498e+09 | 4.809435e+09 |
4 | 002056.XSHE | 2014-09-30 | 2015-10-28 | 9.175491e+07 | 2014-10-24 | 1.630937e+09 | 4.809435e+09 | 1.170975e+09 | 4.658186e+09 |
data_for_acbel("002056").head(5)
secID | endDate | publishDate_x | NIncome | tRevenue | publishDate_y | TLiab | TAssets | retainedEarnings | marketValue | TAssetsPre | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 002056.XSHE | 2015-09-30 | 2015-10-28 | 2.657156e+08 | 2.882585e+09 | 2015-10-28 | 1.672345e+09 | 5.129504e+09 | 1.401169e+09 | 7790664000 | 4.820643e+09 |
1 | 002056.XSHE | 2015-06-30 | 2015-08-27 | 1.482967e+08 | 1.800482e+09 | 2015-08-27 | 1.486623e+09 | 4.820643e+09 | 1.283617e+09 | 12852952000 | 4.721675e+09 |
2 | 002056.XSHE | 2015-03-31 | 2015-04-27 | 6.872527e+07 | 8.511258e+08 | 2015-04-27 | 1.466576e+09 | 4.721675e+09 | 1.204153e+09 | 12064024000 | 4.782852e+09 |
3 | 002056.XSHE | 2014-12-31 | 2015-03-28 | 3.814308e+08 | 3.668800e+09 | 2015-10-28 | 1.484829e+09 | 4.782852e+09 | 1.250498e+09 | 9019255000 | 4.809435e+09 |
4 | 002056.XSHE | 2014-09-30 | 2015-10-28 | 9.175491e+07 | 9.342650e+08 | 2014-10-24 | 1.630937e+09 | 4.809435e+09 | 1.170975e+09 | 9187724000 | 4.658186e+09 |
计算 Z-score
def zscore_ACB(ticker=None, tstart=2010, tend=2015, coef=[0.517, -0.460, 18.640, 0.388, 1.158]):
# step 1. get data and pre-calculate the factor
ticker = data_for_acb(ticker, tstart, tend)
ticker['x0'] = 1
ticker['x1'] = ticker['TLiab'] / ticker['TAssets']
ticker['x2'] = ticker['NIncome'] * 2 / (ticker['TAssets'] + ticker['TAssetsPre'])
ticker['x3'] = (ticker['TAssets'] - ticker['TLiab']) / ticker['TAssets']
ticker['x4'] = ticker['retainedEarnings'] / ticker['TAssets']
# step 2. calculate zscore
tmp = ticker[['x0', 'x1', 'x2', 'x3', 'x4']] * coef
ticker['zscore'] = tmp.sum(axis=1)
# step 3. build result
ticker.sort('endDate', ascending=True, inplace=True)
return ticker[['secID', 'endDate', 'NIncome', 'TLiab', 'TAssets',
'retainedEarnings', 'x0', 'x1', 'x2', 'x3', 'x4', 'zscore']]
def zscore_ACBEL(ticker=None, tstart=2010, tend=2015, coef=[0.2086, 4.3465, 4.9601]):
# step 1. get data and pre-calculate the factor
ticker = data_for_acbel(ticker, tstart, tend)
ticker['x0'] = ticker['marketValue'] / ticker['TLiab']
ticker['x1'] = ticker['tRevenue'] / ticker['TAssets']
ticker['x2'] = (ticker['TAssets'] - ticker['TAssetsPre']) / ticker['TAssetsPre']
# step 2. calculate zscore
tmp = ticker[['x0', 'x1', 'x2']] * coef
ticker['zscore'] = tmp.sum(axis=1)
# step 3. build result
ticker.sort('endDate', ascending=True, inplace=True)
return ticker[['secID', 'endDate', 'NIncome', 'TLiab', 'tRevenue', 'TAssets',
'retainedEarnings', 'marketValue', 'TAssetsPre', 'x0', 'x1', 'x2', 'zscore']]
def get_ticker(bond=None):
"""Get the ticker number of a bond.
"""
# bondID -> partyID -> ticker
partyID = None
try:
data = DataAPI.BondGet(ticker=bond)
partyID = data['partyID'][0]
except:
return 'Cannot find this bond in DataAPI'
ticker = None
try:
data = DataAPI.SecIDGet(partyID=str(partyID))
ticker = data['ticker'][0]
except:
return 'Cannot find the ticker for this bond in DataAPI, maybe the issuer is not listed'
return ticker
测试:计算 Z-score
zscore_ACB("002506").head(5)
secID | endDate | NIncome | TLiab | TAssets | retainedEarnings | x0 | x1 | x2 | x3 | x4 | zscore | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | 002506.XSHE | 2009-12-31 | 1.699573e+08 | 7.039600e+08 | 1.262617e+09 | 2.845660e+08 | 1 | 0.557540 | 0.134607 | 0.442460 | 0.225378 | 3.202272 |
20 | 002506.XSHE | 2010-09-30 | 1.051847e+08 | 1.131338e+09 | 1.848964e+09 | 4.404125e+08 | 1 | 0.611877 | 0.067609 | 0.388123 | 0.238194 | 1.922180 |
19 | 002506.XSHE | 2010-12-31 | 2.194191e+08 | 1.398571e+09 | 4.466591e+09 | 4.881275e+08 | 1 | 0.313118 | 0.069485 | 0.686882 | 0.109284 | 2.061233 |
18 | 002506.XSHE | 2011-03-31 | 3.719796e+07 | 1.841932e+09 | 4.946957e+09 | 5.261166e+08 | 1 | 0.372336 | 0.007903 | 0.627664 | 0.106352 | 0.859727 |
17 | 002506.XSHE | 2011-06-30 | 1.313367e+08 | 2.631518e+09 | 5.728841e+09 | 5.177251e+08 | 1 | 0.459346 | 0.024605 | 0.540654 | 0.090372 | 1.078754 |
zscore_ACBEL("002506").head(5)
secID | endDate | NIncome | TLiab | tRevenue | TAssets | retainedEarnings | marketValue | TAssetsPre | x0 | x1 | x2 | zscore | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | 002506.XSHE | 2009-12-31 | 1.699573e+08 | 7.039600e+08 | 1.318242e+09 | 1.262617e+09 | 2.845660e+08 | 11732836000 | 1.262617e+09 | 16.666906 | 1.044055 | 0.000000 | 8.014703 |
20 | 002506.XSHE | 2010-09-30 | 1.545466e+08 | 1.131338e+09 | 1.646226e+09 | 1.848964e+09 | 4.404125e+08 | 11732836000 | 1.262617e+09 | 10.370759 | 0.890350 | 0.464390 | 8.336670 |
19 | 002506.XSHE | 2010-12-31 | 2.194191e+08 | 1.398571e+09 | 2.686649e+09 | 4.466591e+09 | 4.881275e+08 | 11732836000 | 1.848964e+09 | 8.389163 | 0.601499 | 1.415726 | 11.386537 |
18 | 002506.XSHE | 2011-03-31 | 3.719796e+07 | 1.841932e+09 | 6.502649e+08 | 4.946957e+09 | 5.261166e+08 | 12586900000 | 4.466591e+09 | 6.833531 | 0.131447 | 0.107547 | 2.530253 |
17 | 002506.XSHE | 2011-06-30 | 1.313367e+08 | 2.631518e+09 | 1.797884e+09 | 5.728841e+09 | 5.177251e+08 | 10174960000 | 4.946957e+09 | 3.866575 | 0.313830 | 0.158053 | 2.954592 |
a = zscore_ACBEL("002506")
a.head(3)
secID | endDate | NIncome | TLiab | tRevenue | TAssets | retainedEarnings | marketValue | TAssetsPre | x0 | x1 | x2 | zscore | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | 002506.XSHE | 2009-12-31 | 1.699573e+08 | 7.039600e+08 | 1.318242e+09 | 1.262617e+09 | 2.845660e+08 | 11732836000 | 1.262617e+09 | 16.666906 | 1.044055 | 0.000000 | 8.014703 |
20 | 002506.XSHE | 2010-09-30 | 1.051847e+08 | 1.131338e+09 | 6.184189e+08 | 1.848964e+09 | 4.404125e+08 | 11732836000 | 1.262617e+09 | 10.370759 | 0.334468 | 0.464390 | 5.920527 |
19 | 002506.XSHE | 2010-12-31 | 2.194191e+08 | 1.398571e+09 | 2.686649e+09 | 4.466591e+09 | 4.881275e+08 | 11732836000 | 1.848964e+09 | 8.389163 | 0.601499 | 1.415726 | 11.386537 |
作图分析
def zscore_plot(dataframe, upper_limit, low_limit):
ax = dataframe.plot('endDate', ['zscore'], figsize=(20, 10), style='g-', title='zscore curve',)
axhspan(low_limit, dataframe.zscore.min(), facecolor='maroon', alpha=0.1)
axhspan(upper_limit, dataframe.zscore.max(), facecolor='yellow', alpha=0.2)
ax.legend()
return ax
测试:作图分析
这里,我们以 11超日债[112061] 来做测试,看看当前这个模型表现怎么样。
- step 1: 调用
get_ticker
函数通过债券代码获取发行人上市代码,在发行人已上市的前提下; - step 2: 调用
zscore_ACBEL
或zscore_ACB
计算发行人的 Z-score 值; - step 3: 调用
zscore_plot
绘制 Z-score 曲线;
ticker = get_ticker("112061")
df = zscore_ACBEL(ticker)
zscore_plot(df, 1.5408, 1.5408)
<matplotlib.axes.AxesSubplot at 0x5220a10>
ticker = get_ticker("112061")
df = zscore_ACB(ticker)
zscore_plot(df, 0.9, 0.5)
<matplotlib.axes.AxesSubplot at 0x525c610>